RE: SQUATCH
9-Mills
The argument between assault weapons and 9-mils and all that jazz is something of a dead end for gun rights folks. Consider who you are arguing against. Their goal is to decrease gun violence by restricting access to especially dangerous weapons. Its a principle most people can sympathise with. We don't want civilians to have serin gass or nuclear weapons etc... In principle, we mostly agree.
So it comes down to an evaluation of what weapons are dangerous and what weapons can be controlled. If they look at a weapon and it seems very dangerous, and you say, well this other less dangerous looking weapon is possibly more dangerous. Their natural reaction is, "Oh well we'd better get rid of those too!" So it really does no good for yoru possition to argue the merits of 9-mil pistols as tools for mass murder unless you want to see them banned.
We could go round in circles forever on the merits of the weapons. I happen to think an AR-15 is a great weapon for mass murder, you may disagree and say a 9-mil is superior (in whatever situation you might imagine). I could then say, well, killers are more attracted to the AR-15 for whatever reason so that's worse. Or I could point out the latest attempt using an 9-mil didn't kill anyone, and you could come back saying that shooter was unskilled etc... etc... But none of it really gets to the root motivation. People want to limit access to potential tools of mass murder so they are trying to identify which tools are most effective. Any tool you argue is effective, can get lumped into the legislation if you try hard enough.
NSW gun ban was 1945 (ish) through 1956 Then the current legislation in 1996Australian Suicide Statistics
We had a peak in 1930s (reason unknown) and a steady decline into the post war period, indeed around 1945
And yes, suiside started on the upward trend during the gun ban, and after it is lifted, it keeps going up until 1963 or so.
Then it starts to decline again and levels out in the 1980s, then wggling around in the 12-14 zone on the chart
Then after the 1996 legislation it takes a step down and flattens out around 11 or so which is below average for the chart, with only the WWII period being lower.
(Looking for other charts, it appears to be about holding steady there in the 11 range with very slight continuing declines)
While one period shows an increase during a gun ban, the other shows a decrease (the most recent and wider ban). We see both increases and decreases during times of open firearms laws. Honestly, it mostly argues that other trends are a stronger impact.
Suicides in general
The evidence is, and its pretty intuitive to boot, that suicide with a gun is more effective. If you own a gun, and you use it to kill yourself, you are more likely to succeed that if you don't own a gun and use another method. One of the reasons I don't have a gun is because my wife is prone to clinical depression, and she knows for a fact if she had owned a gun she would be dead by now. That's what she told me, not my evaluation of her. The statsitics bare that out. Gun sucides have a much higher success rate. Luckily, she's wise enough to understand that access to a quick and effective means of suicide means she'd be more likely to have commited suicide and succeded at it.
Gun Survays
My point was to say they are self-reported, and I backed that up. They are self-reported.
My issue with that is that people will over-report how often and how necessary the use of the gun was and in what situation. If you came to me and said... "Owning a gun it makes it more likely I won't have my wallet stolen." Id agrees that is probably true, though only to a small degree. If you said, "Owning a gun better lets me defend my home against burglars." I'd probably agree with that too. But if you say "Owning a gun makes me and my family safer from being killed." I'd tell you you are wrong. The risk of suicide and fratricide offsets the protection agsint murder by someone outside the home.
The issue of using a gun in defense of a crime, only speaks to that last statement a small bit, because most crimes are not homicide. Most of them are property crimes. Most gun deaths are suicides. It's a numbers game here. The more prone you are to suicide, the more likely the gun is going to be your own demise rather than to kill someone else. And the less cautious you are about gun safety, the more likely it will kill a family member on accident rather than be used to defend them.
So if your goal is to have a gun to intimidate burglars, it might make some sense. If it is there to keep you and your family from harm, you are quite possibly making an error in judgement.
Will a gun help you in a fight?
Yes, I think it probably would. You are better off trying to avoid a fight, but if you are in one, having a gun may well be helpful. For me, the extra help (which I don't much need both because I am both freindly and intimidating) is far less important than my wife not shooting herself or me being a doofus with a gun and putting a hole in something important by accident.
The NRA
They are not all bad, not even mostly bad, but they do get flack any time they do anything even remotely in support of restrictions on gun ownership and gun types from their more radical base. So if they want to keep their membership, they mostly have to tow a line of hard core anti-gun legislation. The Cruiz Ammendment isn't a restriction on gun ownership, so of course the NRA is fine with it.
As for French's proposal, the NRA has pretty consistently opposed GVRO legislation in nearly all the states where it was proposed. They say they are for the policy, but they have a long laundry list of requirements for then to support it so they almost alwyas come up with an excuse to oppose them. The states that have enacted these laws are, not shockingly, the left coast of WA OR and CA. (Also FL, recently) So to say that liberals don't embrase this kind of legislation is wrong, and to say the NRA supports it is rather IFFY since they've opposed them on far more occasions than they supported them.
The NRA has a goal, protect gun rights and they pursue that doggedly. I wouldn't expect different. But I think their suggestion that we can work together for legislation is mostly a dodge. They are only interested in legislation that targets established criminals and leaves other gun owners alone. Understandable, but not at all what the left is after.
Two Worlds
At the core here there are two competing views of how you deal with violence and crime.
The right wing vision is that good individual citizens are armed and ready to shoot down evil doers who threaten them, or anyone else.
The left wing vision is that we hire trained professionals to come and deal with the evil dooers for us so we can live a peaceful life.
We all wish we could just live in a world without criminals and violence. Sadly, that isn't happening.
King for a day
Always harder to construct than critique!
Note: I'm king, so to hell with the limits of federal powers for me!
I'm going to order all law enforcement agencies in the country to use a common database for crime and incident reporting. I want top computer science and law enforcemnt people working on this so it is both good helpful data, but not an excessive burden to maintain. Also, flexible enough to adapt to changing data and law enforcement needs over time. All the data is accessible to the public, except perp/suspect personal identification of non-convicted persons.
National citisen registration and identification for everybody. Sorry kids, you are all going into the database! Deaths, births, name changes, state of residence etc... all need to get reported by local officials to keep the database up to date.
Weapons get classificiations, much like drugs do now.
A: Military only weapons
B: Restricted weapons - Require special processes and restrictions to own. These are weapons not ideal for self defense, hunting, or sport shooting and intended for combat situations and scenarios. Full auto rifles, armor penetrting ammunition etc... A panel, including crime, public safety, weapons, and military experts are tasked with the classifications.
C: Registered weapons - Weapons that are considered deadly and designed for self defense, hunting, target shooting, etc...
D: unregistered weapons - Weapons that pose a low risk of lethality and are unregulated as a result.
A and B are pretty much already around today, though B is likely broadened somewhat. These weapons require a legitimate purpose be established, are unlawful outside of that purpose, and have specialized storage and management requirements to ensure they stay in legal hands (so probably a yearly report that said weapon is still stored in said location by said owner).
C would cover all handguns and other firearms not included in B, provided they are realistically lethal. (so most pellet guns would probably be in the D category for instance). All C class weapons need a unique serial number. They must be registered in a federal database. Any change of ownership must be reported. They require a license to own, and another license to carry in public. These licenses have training requirements. That training includes legal instruction, safety instruction, storage instruction, warnings about suicide risks, and a competency exam that includes safe opperation of the weapon. Basically, very close to what we do with cars, but with a bit more emphasis on training in law and safety. Knives beyond a certain size, including swords would probably also be covered in this law thogh with different training. Background checks would also be part of this licensing. Kids can get a training permit that allows them to use firearms in the presense of someone who has a license but not to own one themselves or have it unsupervised. Licenses can be revoked or suspended for various reasons including violent criminal history, mental illness knownt to be a risk of violence, violation of firearms laws, known membership in a criminal orginization, domestic violence, stalking, violent threats, and the like as appropriate. Taxes on such weapons pay for the registration programs. The training is paid for by those purchasing the weapons, though subsidies are available for low income people.
Also, I'm going to do something about police unions and the current state of police training that seems to have created police prone to a "when in doubt, shoot" mentality. Unarmed or responsible armed citizens should not be afraid of being gunned down by the police. Only police that can show a calm demeanor and a willingness to self sacrifice for the public should be entrusted to wield deadly force against civilians.
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