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Thread: Brexit

  1. #1
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    Sep 2009
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    With Brexit just around the corner, everyone is waiting with baited breath to see what happens.

    The current state of affairs is that the UK parliament has not authorized the Brexit plan negotiated by Theresa May and the EU over the last two years. This actually means that we are heading towards a No Brexit deal: essentially crashing out of the EU with nothing in place and falling back to the WTO terms, which will be disastrous to the UK’s economy.

    Current thinking is that May is running out the clock to force parliament into voting for her deal; indeed, she’s pushing the meaningful vote to the middle of next month, with only TWO WEEKS to finalize everything else. The problem with the deal she cut is that it is one that essentially turns the UK into a vassal state with the backstop.

    My reading of the situation is that May’s secret plan is to cancel Brexit. She said herself last year that it was either her plan, hard Brexit or no Brexit; followed by the likelihood that it’s more likely that Brexit would be canceled than a hard Brexit.

    Other evidence for this is that the preparations for a hard Brexit has been woefully lacking and the horror stories of stockpiling of food and medicine are beginning. So the hard Brexit scenario is basically shown to be the sham it has always been.

    So I think that May negotiated a plan that she knew the Brexitiers would hate (but at the same time the best plan possible); and one that would not get full parliamentary support for. She is forcing Parliament’s hand towards rejecting the plan with no time left, this ensuring that the UK will crash out. She’ll then say at the last moment that she cannot in good conscience do so and cancel Brexit and fall on the sword and resign. Or she would put it to the people that she wants another referendum before actually crashing out since at that point, a hard Brexit due to no plan and a hard Brexit due to the results of a Referendum would be the same: she owes that to the people.

    The results of the referendum, after two years of teaching the public, I think would be to remain.

    I don’t know if there are too many Europeans here but thoughts? And what do the Americans here think?

    One more crazy note:
    Apparently 18 countries, including some Commonwealth ones, have objected at WTO to UK rolling over EU trade deals... If true its another major Brexit disaster. (source)
    This makes the idea of a planned Brexit even more impossible!
    Last edited by SharmaK; February 24th, 2019 at 09:21 AM.



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